Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 43.296377 49.861721 56.704663 64.337532 72.582694 81.191466 90.830027
2024-10-13 34.177437 43.477483 53.737432 65.763507 79.345802 94.092795 111.198366
2024-10-20 27.682738 38.183318 50.297407 65.030491 82.203616 101.351494 124.082184
2024-10-27 22.263575 33.270731 46.527243 63.204972 83.193929 105.993263 133.584829
2024-11-03 20.124020 32.011912 46.804570 65.880606 89.198910 116.215212 149.337813
2024-11-10 17.962087 30.416425 46.417335 67.539873 93.833304 124.730631 163.051947
2024-11-17 15.123012 27.561485 44.138666 66.596285 95.105266 129.111251 171.799039
2024-11-24 12.717364 25.008997 42.006833 65.621139 96.159703 133.095606 179.973790
2024-12-01 11.038181 23.306017 40.850861 65.770297 98.513646 138.582071 189.902878
2024-12-08 9.604477 21.795906 39.820826 65.970254 100.845855 143.986248 199.703805
2024-12-15 8.481990 20.639265 39.185805 66.618045 103.696321 150.000080 210.239845
2024-12-22 7.117840 18.888495 37.538134 65.754883 104.481420 153.366201 217.482772
2024-12-29 6.360815 18.123893 37.332779 66.908901 107.974285 160.229543 229.180301
2025-01-05 5.719147 17.485515 37.268353 68.233694 111.691210 167.398211 241.305797
2025-01-12 4.751573 16.056775 35.843258 67.502542 112.562470 170.875586 248.784570
2025-01-19 3.724866 14.296019 33.727442 65.631065 111.776316 172.139357 253.421425
2025-01-26 3.557108 14.389488 34.695395 68.370370 117.378162 181.746403 268.676482
2025-02-02 3.247436 14.102902 34.985415 70.068354 121.528690 189.467770 281.561737
2025-02-09 2.613301 12.894739 33.581475 69.102770 121.890491 192.174499 288.025527
2025-02-16 2.069242 11.761309 32.208193 68.104761 122.147179 194.702590 294.236356
2025-02-23 1.723331 11.075082 31.592768 68.257424 124.021166 199.372064 303.211067
2025-03-02 1.428047 10.447419 31.033351 68.462076 125.947900 204.104339 312.273180
2025-03-09 1.208891 9.994029 30.771668 69.125038 128.530070 209.720754 322.499748